Modeling the impact of pollinator biodiversity on the resilience of agricultural ecosystems

¹ Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and Technology, 31, Imeni Gazety Krasnoyarskiy Rabochiy Ave., 660037, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
² Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 5, 2-ya Baumanskaya st., 105005 Moscow, Russia
³ Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural Academy, Russian State Agrarian University, 49, Timiryazevskaya st., 127550, Moscow, Russia

^* Corresponding author: ankoz9@yandex.ru

Abstract

This study focuses on examining the factors that influence the yield of wild blueberries (Vaccinium spp.), taking into account ecological and agronomic aspects. In the context of climate change and declining pollinator populations, food security has become a pressing issue. Successful pollination determines the quantity and quality of harvests, including berries. The research utilized data on the habitat characteristics of blueberries, including pollinator density (honeybees, bumblebees, wild bees) and climatic conditions (temperature, precipitation). Statistical methods, such as correlation and factor analysis, were applied to identify relationships between yield and the influencing factors. The results showed that high blueberry yields are associated with the presence of pollinators and climatic conditions. Positive correlations were observed between seed quantity and yield, as well as negative correlations between clone size and fruit set. These findings underscore the importance of pollinator diversity and optimal climatic conditions. The study highlights the need to preserve pollinator biodiversity and optimize agronomic practices in the face of climate change. The results can be used to develop recommendations for improving blueberry cultivation methods and increasing yields.