A Study on Carbon Emission from Plantation Industry in Jiangsu Province Based on Using System Dynamics

School of Management, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China

^*a Corresponding author: heyuan@cuit.edu.cn
^b 1733978892@qq.com

Abstract

Research objective: to analyse the role of land, population, society and economy in influencing carbon emissions from a systemic perspective, and to simulate the carbon emissions from plantation industry under different policy scenarios in Jiangsu Province from 2016 to 2030, so as to provide a decision-making basis for its low-carbon development strategy and low-carbon plantation industry. Research method: System Dynamics. Findings: (1) Rapid economic development has a significant effect on the increase of carbon emissions from plantation industry in Jiangsu Province; (2) Improving the efficiency of agricultural materials utilisation can all effectively reduce carbon emissions from plantation industry in Jiangsu Province. Conclusions: The important ways for low-carbon development of plantation industry in Jiangsu Province is to transform the mode of economic growth, adjust the structure of land using and improve the efficiency of the use of agricultural materials, and promote the use of organic fertilisers, organic agricultural films, et.