| Issue |
BIO Web Conf.
Volume 145, 2024
International Scientific Forestry Forum 2024: Forest Ecosystems as Global Resource of the Biosphere: Calls, Threats, Solutions (Forestry Forum 2024)
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 04005 | |
| Number of page(s) | 6 | |
| Section | Forest Monitoring, Conservation and Protection of Forests | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/bioconf/202414504005 | |
| Published online | 28 November 2024 | |
Program system for climate risk assessment in forestry
1 Siberian Federal University, 79, Svobodny pr., 660041, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
2 St. Petersburg Research Institute of Forestry, 21, Institutsky Prospekt, 194021, St. Petersburg, Russia
3 St. Petersburg State University, 7–9, Universitetskaya naberezhnaya, 199034, St. Petersburg, Russia
* Corresponding author: a.soroka@spb-niilh.ru
The paper presents the main aspects of the development and implementation of a system that allows predicting climate risks for forestry on the basis of retrospective and forecast data. The existing variants of software for determining the hazard level of climatic risks in forestry are considered. The methods of analyzing climatic data are described and an original algorithm for calculating the danger level of risks is proposed. Particular attention is paid to the practical application of the system: examples of its use to assess the risks of forest fires, forest pests and diseases, changes in productivity and species composition, as well as the death of forest plantations from extreme weather events are given. Recommendations derived from the interpretation of the program results can be used by executive authorities for forest planning purposes, in particular, for the development of adaptation measures.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2024
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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